08/24/2026
I used a CIA technique to figure out something on my own systems last week. I hear it. I am a guy in Kansas City who gets businesses found by AI.
Here is the thing though. Everything I did before this came with a rulebook. Somebody wrote it twenty years ago, everybody in town got the same copy, and you just had to run it better than the guy down the street.
AI does not have one. Nobody has written it yet. Anybody selling you certainty about this stuff is guessing.
So when I need to figure something out I go find whoever already solved the hard part, even if they solved it in a completely different building.
Richards Heuer spent his career on a single question. How do you get to the truth when some of your information is wrong on purpose. He called it Analysis of Competing Hypotheses.
First thing it caught was me.
Substack out tomorrow, link is in the comments.