11/01/2026
How Will 2026 Affect Your Job or Business?
IMN's 2026 geopolitical outlook reveals 8 of the starkest realities facing global businesses and citizens this year:
• Stifled Mobility: The fracturing of long-standing multilateral partnerships will impact business, capital, and job flow mobility between erstwhile partners, whilst increasing it between new trade corridors.
• The Great Pivot: Tariffs, sanctions, and 'disrespect' will accelerate the pace at which major powers and US allies such as the EU, India, and South America pivot away from the US.
• Trust: Confidence in US leadership has plummeted globally and will outlast Trump 47. America will see a longer-term decline in investment, tourism, and global goodwill.
• Defence Spending: Nations will seek new independent security pacts, especially post-Venezuela, and will also buy more non-American defence equipment.
• US & Global Economy: The probability of a recession sits as high as 35%, especially given the reliance of the US economy on its AI behemoths.
• Capital: Global investment growth remains subdued and will shift to new markets and the Global South.
• Diminished Government Support: American and European citizens in particular will face contracting social security and small business support, as well as higher direct or stealth taxes, as governments struggle to balance budgets.
• Job Insecurity: Coupled with trade shocks and broader financial pressures on businesses, AI adoption will threaten job security throughout America and Europe at the fastest pace since the advent of AI.
If you need better end-to-end external business intelligence to navigate 2026’s rapidly changing realities, visit www.myimn.com
