11/04/2026
715 votes. That is the entire spread separating Ana Boyenga (19,012) and Richard Lopez (18,297) with 37,309 votes logged so far.
The green and blue map looks dramatic, but here is what the establishment isn't telling you: this board is still running off Batch 1.
Batch 1 consists primarily of early vote-by-mail ballots returned weeks ago, which historically lean older and more conservative.
What hasn’t hit the board yet?
Thousands of ballots dropped into county drop boxes on Tuesday.
Postmarked mail arriving throughout the week.
Provisional and same-day registration ballots (currently sitting at zero).
In Merced County, that late count heavily represents working families and the Latino vote.
Boyenga took Atwater, McSwain, and Buhach on early mail, but the race is sitting on a razor-thin 50.96% to 49.04% split.
Do not call this race early. The canvass has only just started.
Drop your thoughts below: Did you vote early, or did you hit the drop box on Tuesday? 🗳️