11/19/2020
After a pause of several months due to the global COVID-19 restrictions the URS™ has resumed monthly rating calculations and new calculations have now been implemented for both October and November 2020. A modification has been made to the URS™ rating algorithm however to cater for the severe reduction in the number of monthly over-the-board games that have been played since March.
A player’s URS™ rating is best described as his performance rating calculated over the last several years and is based on each player's game results. Recent games are weighted more heavily than games played in earlier periods. When the URS™ needs to calculate a rating for a player who has very few recent results, it places a higher emphasis on their established strength from earlier years or (in the case of new players) on the typical playing strength of players of the same age.
If no adjustment was made, almost all players would appear to the URS™ algorithm as having very few recent results. This would cause a "regression to the mean" effect whereby players URS™ ratings would get shifted toward the typical playing strength of someone their age or towards their established playing strength from several years ago.
Before COVID-19 restrictions came into effect in March, approximately 350,000 rated games were typically played each month. A similar number of rated games have now been played since the global COVID-19 restrictions were implemented. We have therefore made a decision to treat all games played between 01-MAR-2020 and 30-SEP-2020 as if they were played within the single month of September 2020.
To close the resultant gap before September 2020, all games played prior to the COVID-19 shutdown will be shifted six months forward in time, for purposes of the future rating calculations. Consequently, all games played during February 2020 will be treated by the URS™ algorithm as if they were played during August 2020 while games played in January 2020 will be treated as if they were played in July 2020 and so on. This adjustment only applies to pre-COVID-19 game results and the dates of games played from October 2020 onwards will not be adjusted moving forward. As a result of the compression, it is also important to note that players will only be treated as inactive if they have not played a single rated game at any time control for the last eighteen months.
The rating lists for the periods from March 2020 until September 2020 were frozen and movements will again be seen for all months from October 2020 onwards. All lists have now been updated and can be viewed at http://universalrating.com/ratings.php .